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Red256
373795.4
2642113.1
633275.5
Blue142
3196106.6
621459.8
576226.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531820100300400500256142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.11.7
111.0112.6
Auto14.6
Teleop54.7
End43.7
red by 6.5
106.62.7
91.788.9
Auto10.0
Teleop44.6
End52.1
Second
3737
#12
95.41.7
73.074.7
Auto9.7
Teleop48.2
End37.5
red by 35.6
6214
#24
59.82.7
50.347.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.0
End22.3
Third
75.51.7
47.048.6
Auto3.3
Teleop31.9
End40.2
red by 49.0
5762
#29
26.52.7
41.138.3
Auto6.2
Teleop26.6
End-6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed