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Red215
90073.3
600452.4
516077.5
Blue165
621533.8
268282.6
382252.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2001640100300400215165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#11
77.52.0
72.274.2
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
blue by 5.1
82.60.3
68.368.5
Auto9.5
Teleop44.0
End29.1
Second
900
#28
73.32.0
65.667.6
Auto7.5
Teleop36.7
End29.0
red by 21.1
3822
#31
52.20.3
50.250.5
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End9.6
Third
6004
#22
52.42.0
47.649.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End23.4
red by 18.6
6215
#23
33.80.3
42.242.5
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End-6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed