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Red180
333649.7
456199.8
642640.6
Blue215
516077.5
633275.5
379657.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194209100150250300350180215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#16
99.80.4
102.6102.2
Auto7.8
Teleop41.7
End50.3
red by 22.3
5160
#11
77.51.2
72.673.8
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End38.1
Second
3336
#17
49.70.4
47.446.9
Auto1.6
Teleop30.3
End17.8
blue by 25.8
75.51.2
68.769.9
Auto3.3
Teleop31.9
End40.2
Third
6426
#30
40.60.6
36.736.1
Auto3.9
Teleop25.6
End11.2
blue by 16.7
3796
#21
57.31.2
55.156.4
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed