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Red315
600452.4
2642113.1
519094.9
Blue255
43596.4
650085.2
333170.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275264100200300400500315255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.11.0
112.6113.7
Auto14.6
Teleop54.7
End43.7
red by 16.7
435
#10
96.40.1
96.396.4
Auto14.5
Teleop39.9
End42.1
Second
94.91.0
94.595.5
Auto12.8
Teleop38.7
End43.5
red by 9.7
85.20.1
85.285.2
Auto6.7
Teleop34.7
End43.8
Third
6004
#22
52.41.0
51.953.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End23.4
blue by 18.2
3331
#19
70.50.1
70.570.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.6
End29.6