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Red260
650090.8
435109.2
4561115.9
Blue140
519098.2
2682112.3
3229100.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333327150200250300350400450260140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 3.5
2682
#21
112.30.0
112.3112.3
Auto14.0
Teleop50.2
End48.1
Second
435
#9
109.20.0
109.2109.2
Auto12.0
Teleop51.1
End46.1
red by 8.5
3229
#15
100.80.0
100.8100.8
Auto13.9
Teleop45.2
End41.7
Third
6500
#18
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End41.1
blue by 7.5
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto13.8
Teleop43.6
End40.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
20%Rotor odds18%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds