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Red200
621459.8
453481.4
4561115.9
Blue222
481655.7
1533105.3
554492.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271266150200250300350400200222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
red by 10.6
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Second
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
blue by 11.4
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
Third
6214
#11
59.80.0
59.859.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.0
End22.3
red by 4.1
4816
#13
55.70.0
55.755.7
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds