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Red160
600481.6
1533105.3
429081.0
Blue135
481655.7
4561115.9
265597.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283281150200250300350160135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
blue by 10.6
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
Second
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 15.5
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
Third
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End37.4
red by 25.2
4816
#13
55.70.0
55.755.7
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds