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Red255
453481.4
429081.0
265597.0
Blue160
621459.8
481655.7
551862.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2891720100200400500255160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
red by 34.4
5518
#12
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
Second
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
red by 21.6
6214
#11
59.80.0
59.859.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.0
End22.3
Third
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End37.4
red by 25.2
4816
#13
55.70.0
55.755.7
Auto6.9
Teleop31.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds