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Red155
600481.6
551862.6
453481.4
Blue249
4561115.9
429081.0
1533105.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223330100300400500600155249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
blue by 34.3
115.90.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End49.9
Second
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
blue by 23.9
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
5518
#12
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End23.9
blue by 18.4
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End37.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds5%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds