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Red200
265597.0
672984.7
1533105.3
Blue195
600481.6
554492.7
453481.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082630100200400500200195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.30.0
105.3105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
red by 12.5
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0
Second
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
red by 15.5
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.3
End35.9
Third
84.70.0
84.784.7
Auto11.7
Teleop31.5
End41.6
red by 3.4
4534
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto6.5
Teleop44.9
End29.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds