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Red200
621459.8
672984.7
587101.7
Blue305
265597.0
429081.0
519098.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552980100200400500600200305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#3
101.70.0
101.7101.7
Auto9.2
Teleop48.0
End44.6
red by 3.5
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto13.8
Teleop43.6
End40.9
Second
84.70.0
84.784.7
Auto11.7
Teleop31.5
End41.6
blue by 12.3
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
Third
6214
#11
59.80.0
59.859.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.0
End22.3
blue by 21.2
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End37.4