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Red255
429060.6
373771.9
2642106.7
Blue215
551174.3
516063.6
519056.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2611920100300400500600255215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.70.4
106.4106.8
Auto12.6
Teleop48.4
End45.7
red by 32.4
5511
#11
74.30.6
73.474.0
Auto12.2
Teleop33.2
End28.8
Second
71.90.4
71.672.0
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End24.6
red by 8.3
5160
#10
63.60.5
62.863.3
Auto4.7
Teleop29.9
End28.9
Third
4290
#19
60.60.4
60.360.7
Auto10.8
Teleop30.1
End19.7
red by 4.5
5190
#15
56.10.5
55.355.9
Auto6.2
Teleop34.9
End15.1