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Red115
560740.8
205977.8
456187.5
Blue160
350651.5
656542.6
322968.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2421340100200300400500115160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.52.2
90.187.9
Auto8.0
Teleop38.8
End40.6
red by 18.7
3229
#23
68.80.4
61.762.2
Auto9.6
Teleop29.7
End29.4
Second
77.82.5
80.778.2
Auto6.8
Teleop29.7
End41.2
red by 26.3
3506
#13
51.50.4
45.145.5
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End14.7
Third
5607
#27
40.82.7
44.041.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.0
End12.0
blue by 1.7
6565
#12
42.60.4
35.536.0
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End19.7