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Red235
481643.8
43581.4
650068.2
Blue255
551174.3
516063.6
519056.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20718350100150250300350400235255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#4
81.40.2
81.381.1
Auto10.8
Teleop30.6
End40.0
red by 7.1
5511
#11
74.31.9
68.170.0
Auto12.2
Teleop33.2
End28.8
Second
6500
#21
68.20.2
68.167.9
Auto4.3
Teleop30.7
End33.1
red by 4.6
5160
#10
63.61.7
58.059.8
Auto4.7
Teleop29.9
End28.9
Third
4816
#18
43.80.2
43.743.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.8
End6.9
blue by 12.4
5190
#15
56.11.7
50.652.3
Auto6.2
Teleop34.9
End15.1