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Red215
205977.8
600357.5
373771.9
Blue205
429060.6
2642106.7
554452.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571740100200300400500215205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.87.0
68.475.5
Auto6.8
Teleop29.7
End41.2
blue by 28.9
106.74.7
73.978.6
Auto12.6
Teleop48.4
End45.7
Second
71.97.0
34.041.0
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End24.6
red by 11.3
4290
#19
60.64.7
55.560.2
Auto10.8
Teleop30.1
End19.7
Third
6003
#14
57.57.0
49.456.4
Auto7.9
Teleop34.4
End15.2
red by 5.4
5544
#24
52.14.7
33.538.2
Auto6.0
Teleop37.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed