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Red191
456187.5
43581.4
482841.9
Blue95
429060.6
350651.5
600357.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169186010030040050060070080019195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.52.9
69.172.0
Auto8.0
Teleop38.8
End40.6
red by 26.9
4290
#19
60.68.8
62.854.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.1
End19.7
Second
435
#4
81.42.9
60.663.5
Auto10.8
Teleop30.6
End40.0
red by 24.0
6003
#14
57.58.2
56.147.9
Auto7.9
Teleop34.4
End15.2
Third
4828
#25
41.92.9
33.536.4
Auto1.8
Teleop25.5
End14.5
blue by 9.6
3506
#13
51.58.2
55.547.3
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed