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Red280
429060.6
373771.9
2642106.7
Blue195
345955.7
429169.4
554452.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2571680100200300400500600280195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.70.6
104.0104.6
Auto12.6
Teleop48.4
End45.7
red by 37.3
69.40.5
67.668.1
Auto3.3
Teleop24.6
End41.5
Second
71.90.5
69.570.0
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End24.6
red by 16.2
55.70.5
53.954.4
Auto5.6
Teleop29.5
End20.6
Third
4290
#19
60.60.6
57.958.5
Auto10.8
Teleop30.1
End19.7
red by 8.5
5544
#24
52.10.5
50.350.8
Auto6.0
Teleop37.0
End9.1