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Red511
107393.7
2168132.1
195141.7
Blue364
1519108.4
3719111.8
5813101.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457336100200300400500600700511364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
141.70.1
141.4141.3
Auto32.9
Teleop60.6
End48.2
red by 29.9
111.80.5
110.8111.3
Auto12.9
Teleop50.3
End48.6
Second
132.10.1
131.8131.6
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
red by 23.7
1519
#15
108.40.5
107.4107.9
Auto23.7
Teleop45.2
End39.5
Third
1073
#34
93.70.1
93.493.3
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End35.4
blue by 7.4
5813
#17
101.10.5
100.1100.6
Auto8.9
Teleop53.1
End39.1