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Red515
107393.7
2168132.1
195141.7
Blue470
131100.5
50195.7
6763104.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions461307100200400500600515470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
141.70.6
141.3141.9
Auto32.9
Teleop60.6
End48.2
red by 36.7
6763
#20
104.91.0
104.1105.1
Auto13.5
Teleop53.4
End38.1
Second
132.10.6
131.7132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
red by 31.6
131
#41
100.51.0
99.6100.6
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End38.0
Third
1073
#34
93.70.6
93.393.9
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End35.4
blue by 2.1
501
#9
95.71.0
94.995.9
Auto7.9
Teleop49.4
End38.5