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Red515
4564117.7
125115.6
558100.9
Blue460
1153102.0
3464112.3
133111.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372342200250300400450500515460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#18
117.71.5
116.2117.7
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
red by 5.4
112.30.7
111.6112.3
Auto11.2
Teleop49.0
End52.1
Second
125
#5
115.61.5
114.1115.5
Auto26.3
Teleop49.5
End39.8
red by 4.6
133
#31
111.00.7
110.3111.0
Auto12.4
Teleop56.4
End42.2
Third
558
#52
100.91.5
99.4100.8
Auto14.1
Teleop52.6
End34.2
blue by 1.1
1153
#13
102.00.7
101.3102.0
Auto8.4
Teleop49.1
End44.5