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Red293
17799.7
206785.2
131100.5
Blue298
2168132.1
395861.7
5813101.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289312100150200250350400450293298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#41
100.51.0
97.296.2
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End38.0
blue by 31.6
132.10.3
131.6131.9
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
Second
177
#16
99.71.0
100.299.2
Auto12.4
Teleop46.2
End41.1
blue by 1.4
5813
#17
101.10.3
96.296.4
Auto8.9
Teleop53.1
End39.1
Third
2067
#59
85.21.0
80.379.3
Auto10.9
Teleop39.8
End34.4
red by 23.4
3958
#62
61.70.3
66.166.4
Auto5.4
Teleop30.7
End25.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed37%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed