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Red256
17396.3
633793.0
252393.9
Blue285
490879.1
4761112.8
542280.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092890200400600800256285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#30
96.32.3
99.497.1
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End46.6
blue by 16.5
4761
#45
112.80.6
112.2112.8
Auto11.4
Teleop49.6
End51.9
Second
2523
#61
93.92.3
96.293.9
Auto10.9
Teleop42.2
End40.8
red by 13.3
5422
#43
80.60.6
80.080.6
Auto8.6
Teleop42.1
End29.9
Third
6337
#28
93.02.3
95.393.0
Auto9.6
Teleop39.5
End43.9
red by 13.9
4908
#46
79.10.6
84.484.9
Auto9.0
Teleop37.8
End32.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed