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Red313
230132.2
346786.0
416998.7
Blue375
999103.8
1058105.8
2084114.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288345100200400500600313375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#26
132.22.1
114.3116.4
Auto18.4
Teleop60.1
End53.6
red by 18.2
2084
#10
114.01.7
118.0119.7
Auto12.4
Teleop55.6
End45.9
Second
4169
#47
98.72.1
97.199.2
Auto6.8
Teleop38.6
End53.3
blue by 7.1
1058
#11
105.81.7
105.4107.1
Auto11.1
Teleop55.6
End39.1
Third
3467
#37
86.02.1
69.972.0
Auto10.2
Teleop44.6
End31.1
blue by 17.8
999
#24
103.81.7
96.698.3
Auto13.0
Teleop53.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed