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Red370
3654106.7
6329102.4
1721101.7
Blue285
195141.7
555669.4
4909102.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843460100200400500600370285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#38
106.74.5
94.098.4
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
blue by 35.0
195
#3
141.72.4
144.0141.6
Auto32.9
Teleop60.6
End48.2
Second
102.44.5
86.090.4
Auto8.7
Teleop55.0
End38.6
blue by 0.1
4909
#27
102.52.4
93.891.4
Auto10.5
Teleop42.3
End49.6
Third
1721
#32
101.74.5
98.2102.6
Auto14.1
Teleop44.1
End43.5
red by 32.3
5556
#64
69.42.4
83.080.6
Auto5.7
Teleop40.3
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed36%Pressure oddsEarned