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Red299
125115.6
18182.8
5846103.2
Blue265
1922101.0
252393.9
2342105.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833200100200400500600700299265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
115.61.6
102.3103.9
Auto26.3
Teleop49.5
End39.8
red by 10.3
2342
#56
105.32.3
94.392.0
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End56.5
Second
5846
#33
103.21.6
92.494.0
Auto11.1
Teleop42.3
End49.8
red by 2.3
1922
#49
101.02.3
105.2102.9
Auto8.2
Teleop45.1
End47.7
Third
181
#58
82.81.6
79.681.3
Auto12.2
Teleop39.7
End30.9
blue by 11.1
2523
#61
93.92.3
99.797.5
Auto10.9
Teleop42.2
End40.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
23%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed