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Red255
17396.3
620187.6
4909102.5
Blue300
131100.5
1519108.4
3464112.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288340100200400500600255300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#27
102.51.7
91.489.7
Auto10.5
Teleop42.3
End49.6
blue by 9.9
112.31.4
109.0107.6
Auto11.2
Teleop49.0
End52.1
Second
173
#30
96.31.7
97.195.4
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End46.6
blue by 12.1
1519
#15
108.41.4
101.6100.1
Auto23.7
Teleop45.2
End39.5
Third
6201
#22
87.61.7
92.290.5
Auto12.0
Teleop47.2
End28.4
blue by 12.9
131
#41
100.51.4
106.0104.6
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End38.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned