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Red309
415179.5
1058105.8
4564117.7
Blue352
17799.7
3719111.8
3654106.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302302300310320330350309352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#18
117.71.4
110.1111.6
Auto13.4
Teleop49.9
End54.4
red by 5.9
111.84.3
94.698.9
Auto12.9
Teleop50.3
End48.6
Second
1058
#11
105.81.4
106.2107.7
Auto11.1
Teleop55.6
End39.1
blue by 0.9
3654
#38
106.74.3
97.0101.3
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
Third
4151
#53
79.51.4
70.972.4
Auto7.7
Teleop33.6
End38.3
blue by 20.2
177
#16
99.74.3
95.399.6
Auto12.4
Teleop46.2
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed