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Red290
633793.0
5813101.1
3464112.3
Blue285
3654106.7
555669.4
2342105.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319283100200400500600290285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.30.6
107.3106.7
Auto11.2
Teleop49.0
End52.1
red by 5.6
3654
#38
106.70.7
101.3102.1
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
Second
5813
#17
101.10.6
99.799.1
Auto8.9
Teleop53.1
End39.1
blue by 4.2
2342
#56
105.30.7
94.795.4
Auto9.5
Teleop39.3
End56.5
Third
6337
#28
93.00.6
92.091.4
Auto9.6
Teleop39.5
End43.9
red by 23.6
5556
#64
69.40.7
77.978.6
Auto5.7
Teleop40.3
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed