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Red180
264890.0
131100.5
107182.7
Blue295
3719111.8
632897.4
6329102.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310313200250300350180295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#41
100.58.0
101.293.2
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End38.0
blue by 11.3
111.80.2
98.999.2
Auto12.9
Teleop50.3
End48.6
Second
2648
#12
90.08.0
101.693.5
Auto9.0
Teleop56.7
End24.3
blue by 12.4
102.40.2
94.694.9
Auto8.7
Teleop55.0
End38.6
Third
1071
#55
82.78.0
97.589.5
Auto12.4
Teleop41.6
End28.7
blue by 14.7
97.40.2
97.898.0
Auto12.2
Teleop42.2
End43.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed25%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
6%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed