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Red345
95115.0
3464112.3
230132.2
Blue353
6763104.9
213112.1
2168132.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3633450100200300400500600700345353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#26
132.20.2
126.2126.3
Auto18.4
Teleop60.1
End53.6
red by 0.1
132.11.5
127.4128.9
Auto17.2
Teleop63.0
End51.9
Second
95
#23
115.00.2
109.6109.8
Auto9.4
Teleop54.5
End51.1
red by 2.9
213
#25
112.11.5
103.2104.7
Auto14.0
Teleop47.5
End50.6
Third
112.30.2
106.7106.9
Auto11.2
Teleop49.0
End52.1
red by 7.4
6763
#20
104.91.5
99.7101.2
Auto13.5
Teleop53.4
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
22%Rotor oddsEarned10%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed