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Red538
4188112.8
1678150.9
118151.3
Blue427
180128.4
330123.7
69696.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions480369100200300400600700538427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
151.30.1
151.2151.3
Auto32.8
Teleop69.7
End48.8
red by 22.9
180
#7
128.40.5
128.9128.4
Auto12.3
Teleop57.4
End58.7
Second
150.90.1
150.9150.9
Auto29.9
Teleop64.7
End56.3
red by 27.3
330
#2
123.70.5
124.2123.7
Auto22.7
Teleop66.1
End34.9
Third
4188
#18
112.80.1
112.8112.8
Auto10.4
Teleop55.1
End47.4
red by 16.7
696
#59
96.10.5
96.696.1
Auto15.6
Teleop45.1
End35.5