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Red325
4320105.2
516095.3
7996.0
Blue280
69696.1
209698.7
321891.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306311260280300320340360325280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#38
105.21.6
103.6105.2
Auto11.9
Teleop52.5
End40.7
red by 6.5
2096
#19
98.72.7
101.398.7
Auto10.9
Teleop51.6
End36.2
Second
79
#25
96.01.6
94.295.8
Auto10.3
Teleop50.9
End34.7
blue by 0.1
696
#59
96.12.7
99.797.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.1
End35.5
Third
5160
#66
95.31.6
93.795.3
Auto11.0
Teleop37.4
End46.8
red by 3.9
3218
#58
91.32.7
94.091.3
Auto9.7
Teleop33.2
End48.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed