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Red265
70494.4
355696.4
6098.3
Blue255
3255118.0
69696.1
666668.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303298200250350400450265255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#33
98.31.8
97.595.7
Auto14.2
Teleop42.4
End41.7
blue by 19.7
3255
#12
118.01.9
119.3117.4
Auto11.5
Teleop58.0
End48.5
Second
3556
#52
96.41.8
94.692.8
Auto13.0
Teleop40.2
End43.2
red by 0.3
696
#59
96.11.9
95.893.9
Auto15.6
Teleop45.1
End35.5
Third
704
#14
94.41.8
94.893.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End34.5
red by 26.4
6666
#62
68.01.9
68.566.6
Auto7.8
Teleop43.2
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed