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Red325
180128.4
654698.5
641892.2
Blue235
174576.4
1255120.2
209698.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314295150200250350400450500325235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#7
128.41.9
124.5126.4
Auto12.3
Teleop57.4
End58.7
red by 8.2
1255
#37
120.23.2
119.2116.0
Auto14.3
Teleop48.3
End57.6
Second
6546
#23
98.51.9
89.090.9
Auto13.0
Teleop44.5
End41.0
blue by 0.1
2096
#19
98.73.2
92.889.6
Auto10.9
Teleop51.6
End36.2
Third
6418
#24
92.21.9
82.784.7
Auto8.0
Teleop44.9
End39.3
red by 15.8
1745
#42
76.43.9
70.666.7
Auto9.7
Teleop32.6
End34.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed