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Red327
69696.1
1678150.9
466295.9
Blue305
997116.2
3489109.4
364799.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35834605001,0001,5002,0002,500327305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.92.4
148.1145.7
Auto29.9
Teleop64.7
End56.3
red by 34.7
997
#17
116.21.7
115.7114.0
Auto11.1
Teleop52.9
End52.3
Second
696
#59
96.12.4
93.991.5
Auto15.6
Teleop45.1
End35.5
blue by 13.4
3489
#31
109.41.7
105.7104.1
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Third
4662
#28
95.92.4
96.293.8
Auto14.7
Teleop42.7
End38.5
blue by 3.4
99.31.7
108.6106.9
Auto9.8
Teleop52.4
End37.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed15%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
26%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed