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Red354
3847104.0
466295.9
373598.3
Blue381
3008103.1
1678150.9
2073112.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279405100200500600700354381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#51
104.04.8
96.7101.5
Auto7.7
Teleop48.3
End48.0
blue by 46.9
150.90.8
151.6152.5
Auto29.9
Teleop64.7
End56.3
Second
3735
#43
98.34.8
93.798.5
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End39.3
blue by 14.1
112.40.8
113.4114.3
Auto14.7
Teleop50.3
End47.3
Third
4662
#28
95.94.8
91.195.9
Auto14.7
Teleop42.7
End38.5
blue by 7.2
103.10.8
103.3104.1
Auto8.4
Teleop54.7
End39.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsEarned13%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed49%Pressure oddsEarned