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Red250
373598.3
586958.3
136988.1
Blue245
70494.4
666668.0
333596.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422770100200400500250245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#43
98.31.0
95.596.6
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End39.3
red by 2.3
3335
#41
96.00.9
98.597.6
Auto12.9
Teleop42.4
End40.6
Second
1369
#53
88.11.0
83.484.5
Auto8.9
Teleop41.5
End37.7
blue by 6.3
704
#14
94.40.9
97.396.4
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End34.5
Third
5869
#54
58.31.0
55.556.5
Auto4.7
Teleop33.0
End20.6
blue by 9.7
6666
#62
68.00.9
62.861.9
Auto7.8
Teleop43.2
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed