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Red555
4188112.8
1678150.9
118151.3
Blue448
1533105.3
3255118.0
448695.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions490329100200400600700800555448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
151.30.4
152.2152.6
Auto32.8
Teleop69.7
End48.8
red by 33.3
3255
#12
118.00.6
118.8119.4
Auto11.5
Teleop58.0
End48.5
Second
150.90.4
151.8152.2
Auto29.9
Teleop64.7
End56.3
red by 45.7
1533
#32
105.30.6
106.1106.7
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
4188
#18
112.80.4
113.7114.1
Auto10.4
Teleop55.1
End47.4
red by 17.5
95.30.6
96.296.8
Auto9.3
Teleop47.3
End38.8