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Red517
4188112.8
1678150.9
118151.3
Blue258
1533105.3
3255118.0
448695.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491331100200400600700517258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
151.30.5
152.6152.1
Auto32.8
Teleop69.7
End48.8
red by 33.3
3255
#12
118.01.4
119.4118.0
Auto11.5
Teleop58.0
End48.5
Second
150.90.5
152.2151.7
Auto29.9
Teleop64.7
End56.3
red by 45.7
1533
#32
105.31.4
106.7105.3
Auto11.2
Teleop41.9
End52.2
Third
4188
#18
112.80.5
114.1113.6
Auto10.4
Teleop55.1
End47.4
red by 17.5
95.31.4
96.895.3
Auto9.3
Teleop47.3
End38.8