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Red405
69696.1
330123.7
180128.4
Blue475
5842107.9
3489109.4
3008103.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943320100200500600700800405475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#7
128.41.0
129.3128.3
Auto12.3
Teleop57.4
End58.7
red by 18.9
3489
#31
109.41.3
108.2109.5
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Second
330
#2
123.71.0
124.6123.6
Auto22.7
Teleop66.1
End34.9
red by 15.7
5842
#13
107.91.3
106.7108.0
Auto20.8
Teleop51.9
End35.2
Third
696
#59
96.11.0
97.096.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.1
End35.5
blue by 7.0
103.11.3
101.8103.1
Auto8.4
Teleop54.7
End39.9