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Red396
23877.4
172966.0
107396.8
Blue252
346778.3
490971.0
237084.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265258250300350396252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#23
96.81.2
97.999.1
Auto10.1
Teleop46.1
End40.6
red by 12.7
2370
#19
84.10.6
81.482.0
Auto8.4
Teleop47.8
End27.9
Second
238
#26
77.41.2
78.579.7
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End29.8
blue by 0.9
3467
#24
78.30.6
75.576.1
Auto10.3
Teleop40.4
End27.6
Third
1729
#13
66.01.2
67.168.3
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End27.3
blue by 5.0
71.00.6
68.368.9
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End33.1