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Red185
23877.4
172966.0
107396.8
Blue302
346778.3
490971.0
237084.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265262200220240280300185302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#23
96.81.3
98.296.8
Auto10.1
Teleop46.1
End40.6
red by 12.7
2370
#19
84.11.6
82.584.1
Auto8.4
Teleop47.8
End27.9
Second
238
#26
77.41.3
78.877.4
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End29.8
blue by 0.9
3467
#24
78.31.6
76.778.3
Auto10.3
Teleop40.4
End27.6
Third
1729
#13
66.01.3
67.466.0
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End27.3
blue by 5.0
71.01.6
69.471.0
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End33.1