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Red280
568794.4
405587.2
31987.7
Blue303
581382.1
264879.6
676242.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021830100400500600280303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
94.41.2
97.796.6
Auto7.9
Teleop54.3
End32.2
red by 12.3
5813
#18
82.17.6
79.286.8
Auto9.2
Teleop44.0
End28.9
Second
319
#25
87.71.2
88.887.7
Auto8.5
Teleop37.0
End42.2
red by 8.1
2648
#21
79.67.6
74.782.3
Auto6.9
Teleop42.3
End30.3
Third
4055
#15
87.21.2
85.884.6
Auto9.2
Teleop33.4
End44.6
red by 44.7
6762
#12
42.57.6
34.842.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed23%Pressure oddsMissed