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Red201
1519100.9
213103.0
405587.2
Blue400
237084.1
58109.3
4564120.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329326250300350400201400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#16
103.07.3
112.1104.8
Auto12.9
Teleop37.4
End52.7
blue by 17.4
120.40.8
117.1116.3
Auto14.1
Teleop42.5
End63.8
Second
100.97.3
111.0103.7
Auto29.3
Teleop39.3
End32.3
blue by 8.4
58
#2
109.30.8
95.094.2
Auto12.1
Teleop39.4
End57.8
Third
4055
#15
87.27.3
87.480.1
Auto9.2
Teleop33.4
End44.6
red by 3.1
2370
#19
84.10.8
99.798.9
Auto8.4
Teleop47.8
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed28%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
9%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed