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Red150
88583.6
454640.0
676242.5
Blue299
183158.3
490971.0
4564120.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1632700100200400500600700800150299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#5
83.61.2
66.865.6
Auto5.9
Teleop33.3
End44.4
blue by 36.8
120.41.7
116.3118.1
Auto14.1
Teleop42.5
End63.8
Second
6762
#12
42.51.2
38.237.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End13.2
blue by 28.6
71.01.7
54.856.5
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End33.1
Third
4546
#28
40.01.2
63.462.1
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End14.7
blue by 18.3
1831
#27
58.31.7
71.973.6
Auto5.1
Teleop27.9
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed