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Red305
23877.4
172966.0
107396.8
Blue256
13182.1
999675.1
405587.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260258220240280300305256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#23
96.81.5
96.597.9
Auto10.1
Teleop46.1
End40.6
red by 9.6
4055
#15
87.20.3
86.987.2
Auto9.2
Teleop33.4
End44.6
Second
238
#26
77.41.5
77.178.5
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End29.8
blue by 4.6
131
#10
82.10.3
81.882.1
Auto11.0
Teleop39.2
End31.9
Third
1729
#13
66.01.5
65.767.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End27.3
blue by 9.1
75.10.3
74.975.1
Auto9.1
Teleop47.9
End18.1