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Red250
213103.0
676375.2
555657.4
Blue301
346778.3
490971.0
237084.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252251220240260280300250301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#16
103.00.3
102.8103.2
Auto12.9
Teleop37.4
End52.7
red by 18.9
2370
#19
84.11.9
78.980.7
Auto8.4
Teleop47.8
End27.9
Second
75.20.3
75.075.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.4
End32.3
blue by 3.1
3467
#24
78.31.9
73.074.9
Auto10.3
Teleop40.4
End27.6
Third
5556
#22
57.40.3
57.157.5
Auto3.4
Teleop26.9
End27.1
blue by 13.7
71.01.9
65.867.6
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End33.1