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Red231
213103.0
676375.2
555657.4
Blue252
346778.3
490971.0
237084.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257253150200300350231252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#16
103.00.1
103.2103.0
Auto12.9
Teleop37.4
End52.7
red by 18.9
2370
#19
84.10.6
80.781.4
Auto8.4
Teleop47.8
End27.9
Second
75.20.1
75.375.2
Auto9.4
Teleop33.4
End32.3
blue by 3.1
3467
#24
78.30.6
74.975.5
Auto10.3
Teleop40.4
End27.6
Third
5556
#22
57.40.1
57.557.4
Auto3.4
Teleop26.9
End27.1
blue by 13.7
71.00.6
67.668.3
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End33.1