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Red205
172969.1
1721103.8
95115.0
Blue286
107399.1
23892.6
632895.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314293150200250350400450500205286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#3
115.02.0
117.0115.0
Auto10.2
Teleop56.4
End48.5
red by 15.9
1073
#18
99.10.0
97.097.0
Auto11.5
Teleop45.6
End42.0
Second
103.82.0
105.7103.8
Auto13.1
Teleop43.2
End47.5
red by 8.1
6328
#23
95.70.0
93.693.6
Auto15.2
Teleop39.3
End41.1
Third
1729
#22
69.12.0
71.169.1
Auto9.0
Teleop32.1
End28.1
blue by 23.4
238
#11
92.60.0
90.590.5
Auto11.5
Teleop40.2
End40.9