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Red175
581392.7
555687.7
332354.5
Blue198
490595.9
71672.8
234294.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230237100150200300350400175198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#15
92.73.1
83.180.1
Auto7.0
Teleop50.0
End35.6
blue by 3.2
95.91.8
81.379.6
Auto10.3
Teleop42.6
End43.0
Second
87.73.1
76.573.4
Auto3.5
Teleop41.5
End42.7
blue by 6.9
94.61.8
70.869.0
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End45.3
Third
3323
#41
54.53.4
61.458.0
Auto6.0
Teleop37.6
End10.9
blue by 18.3
716
#30
72.82.4
72.670.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End33.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed